Land Use Changes for Investments in Silvoarable Agriculture Projected by the CLUE-S Spatio-Temporal Model

Investment in biology-based technological innovations is a key requirement for the development of modern agriculture/forestry. The expansion innovative biological technologies includes changes crops/cultivations, such as transition from intensive monocultures to multiple crops lower agrochemical inputs with integration woody trees/shrubs or animals, represented by Agroforestry. This technology further promoted at European Union (EU) level powerful institutions Green Deal and new CAP, mainly tools ecoschemes agri-environmental climate measures (AECMs). use integrated regional spatiotemporal models, CLUE-S, predict land framework Agroforestry rather restricted. paper examines vehicle that can contribute achieving rural region Thessaly, Greece. It sets time horizon reviewing are expected most important units uses landscape municipality Mouzaki, western Thessaly plain, year 2040, which serves model Thessaly. these effect three (3) socio-economic scenarios: (a) linear operating scenario (business usual, BAU), (b) an ecological protection (ELP) scenario, (c) rapid economic (RED) scenario. These scenarios were introduced non-spatial module CLUE-S model, while spatial sixteen (16) characteristic parameters independent variables. units, including traditional silvoarable silvopastoral woodland systems, dependent simulations showed under RED 2040 extent systems increase significantly (57%) compared reference 2020, rest other regulated depopulation/abandonment areas processes natural succession. fact increasing, combination favorable institutional environment created policies, gives impetus through investments agricultural sector systems.